Vaccination planning
South Africa Vaccine Queue
South Africa’s EVDS programme rolled out in Phases 1–3, moving from healthcare workers to essential workers, seniors, and the general population.
Composite priority score
7
Higher scores enter earlier phases.
Assigned phase
Phase 2 – Essential workers & seniors
Essential services, people over 60, and those with comorbidities.
People ahead of you
16,800,000
Estimated based on 28% of South Africa's population.
Estimated vaccination window
Earliest: 4 weeks (December 23rd, 2025) · Latest: 16 weeks (March 17th, 2026)
Assumes average of 450,000 doses administered per day in South Africa, with 2 doses per person and steady supply.
How to Use This Calculator
Enter accurate demographic and risk information
Include age, occupation, health conditions, and living setting so the priority score reflects your true risk profile.
Review the assigned phase
The calculator maps your score to the rollout phases published for South Africa, estimating how many people are ahead in the queue.
Use the timeline to plan
The projected window helps schedule work, travel, and family plans while you await official appointment invitations.
Formula
Priority score = Age factor + Occupation factor + Comorbidity factor + Living setting factor
- Age 80+: +5, 70–79: +4, 60–69: +3, 50–59: +2, 30–49: +1
- Occupation: Healthcare +4, Public safety +3, Essential +2, Education +2, Other +1
- Comorbidities: Moderate +2, Significant +4
- Living setting: Multigenerational +1, Long-term care +4
The assigned phase is the highest phase where score ≥ phase.minScore. Population ahead = population × phase fraction. Estimated wait uses doses per person × population ahead ÷ daily capacity, aligned with phase-specific rollout windows.
Full Description
This vaccine queue estimator simplifies the prioritization strategies published for South Africa. It translates personal risk factors into a composite score, aligns that score with rollout phases, and approximates a vaccination window using publicly reported capacity assumptions.
Actual appointment timing depends on vaccine supply, program logistics, and policy updates. Always follow guidance from South Africa's health authorities, register with official portals, and consult your healthcare team for individualized recommendations.
Frequently Asked Questions
How accurate is this queue estimate for South Africa?
This calculator provides an educational approximation based on self-reported risk factors and publicly reported rollout assumptions. Local supply changes, new policy decisions, and emerging priority groups may shift actual timing.
Do booster doses change my place in line?
Booster programs typically follow separate prioritization. This tool assumes you are seeking primary vaccination; check local guidance on boosters and additional doses.
What if vaccine supply increases or new vaccines are approved?
Increased supply shortens the queue. Revisit the calculator periodically with updated capacity estimates from your health authority to refresh the timeline.
How can I reduce my waiting time?
Ensure you are registered with local health portals, consult your primary care clinician about risk documentation, and follow non-pharmaceutical interventions while waiting.